Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.025975 0.028091 0.030212 0.032494 0.034876 0.037284 0.039902
2025-08-17 0.021646 0.024965 0.028412 0.032245 0.036371 0.040662 0.045450
2025-08-24 0.019103 0.023112 0.027386 0.032248 0.037591 0.043252 0.049673
2025-08-31 0.017027 0.021502 0.026386 0.032051 0.038385 0.045196 0.053024
2025-09-07 0.015399 0.020230 0.025614 0.031968 0.039179 0.047031 0.056156
2025-09-14 0.013794 0.018854 0.024611 0.031519 0.039469 0.048228 0.058507
2025-09-21 0.012417 0.017645 0.023712 0.031108 0.039730 0.049331 0.060700
2025-09-28 0.010908 0.016177 0.022423 0.030164 0.039311 0.049605 0.061906
2025-10-05 0.010381 0.015880 0.022500 0.030801 0.040700 0.051923 0.065414
2025-10-12 0.009735 0.015388 0.022306 0.031084 0.041649 0.053715 0.068308
2025-10-19 0.008920 0.014630 0.021742 0.030885 0.041999 0.054791 0.070358
2025-10-26 0.008525 0.014396 0.021813 0.031444 0.043240 0.056896 0.073593
2025-11-02 0.007813 0.013734 0.021356 0.031383 0.043789 0.058257 0.076055
2025-11-09 0.007067 0.012988 0.020769 0.031152 0.044132 0.059389 0.078274
2025-11-16 0.006482 0.012426 0.020390 0.031154 0.044737 0.060815 0.080823
2025-11-23 0.005876 0.011790 0.019879 0.030961 0.045080 0.061910 0.082969
2025-11-30 0.005361 0.011253 0.019474 0.030880 0.045544 0.063136 0.085261
2025-12-07 0.004769 0.010555 0.018815 0.030440 0.045534 0.063773 0.086836
2025-12-14 0.004241 0.009914 0.018204 0.030037 0.045551 0.064425 0.088417
2025-12-21 0.003609 0.009047 0.017230 0.029114 0.044874 0.064204 0.088926
2025-12-28 0.003459 0.008980 0.017403 0.029737 0.046184 0.066431 0.092399
2026-01-04 0.003228 0.008752 0.017329 0.030014 0.047039 0.068093 0.095184
2026-01-11 0.002894 0.008314 0.016924 0.029819 0.047268 0.068968 0.097006